E-learn Weblog of Willem van Valkenburg

Elk jaar publiceren The New Media Consortium en Educause een Horizon Report. Over de versie van 2010 schreef ik hier. Volgens die versie zou 2010 het jaar van de mobile computing worden:

The portability of mobile devices and their ability to connect to the Internet almost anywhere makes them ideal as a store of reference materials and learning experiences, as well as general-use tools for fieldwork, where they can be used to record observations via voice, text, or multimedia, and access reference sources in real time.

Deze voorspelling is correct geweest. Het afgelopen jaar is het jaar van de mobile devices geworden met de lancering van de iPhone 4, iPad, Samsung Galaxy en nog veel meer. In het vierde kwartaal zijn er ook meer smartphone verkocht dan pc's.

Maar wat zijn nu de voorspelling voor dit jaar:

• Binnen het jaar:
  • Electronic Books
  • Mobiles
• In 2-3 jaar:
  • Augmented Reality
  • Game-Based Learning
• In 4-5 jaar
  • Gesture-Based Learning
  • Learning Analytics

Over de eerste twee schrijven ze:

Electronic books are moving closer to mainstream adoption for educational institutions, having appeared on the mid-term horizon last year. Mobiles reappear as well, remaining on the near-term horizon as they become increasingly popular throughout the world as a primary means of accessing Internet resources. Resistance to the use of mobiles in the classroom continues to impede their adoption in many schools, but a growing number of institutions are finding ways to take advantage of a technology that nearly all students, faculty, and staff carry.

Het volledige rapport is hier te downloaden.